← Maple Court Apartments
Evaluate · Morgan Hale
✨ AI pre-scored this deal 79/79 questions
From 5 document(s) + 3 attached email(s) · overall confidence: high · review & adjust the scores below, then add your gut-feel section and submit.
Thesis. A 1998 garden-style value-add in a growing Raleigh submarket at a 5.1% going-in cap, where the renovated-unit premium is evidenced by two completed comparables and the open risks are the insurance renewal and the floating-rate bridge.
Strengths
  • Renovation premium of $180 a unit supported by two completed comparables in the OM
  • 93% occupancy on the rent roll with in-place rents under the peer set
  • Sponsor has executed the same programme on two prior buildings in the submarket
Risks / gaps
  • Insurance renewal quote in the email thread is 19% above the T-12
  • Floating-rate bridge with the rate cap still unpurchased
  • Sponsor pro forma reaches renovated rents a year faster than the comps support
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Deal Metrics

15 data points · optional
Number of Units
Total residential units
Price Per Unit
Total price / unit count
$
Going-In Cap Rate
Year 1 NOI / purchase price
%
Exit Cap Rate (Projected)
Assumed cap rate at sale
%
Current NOI
Net operating income (trailing 12 months)
$
Pro Forma NOI (Stabilized)
Projected NOI after value-add
$
Current Occupancy
Physical occupancy rate
%
Avg Rent vs. Market Rent
Current rent as % of market — below 100% = upside
%
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
NOI / annual debt service
x
Loan-to-Value (LTV)
Loan amount / property value
%
Expected Hold Period (Years)
Planned hold before exit
yr
Projected IRR
Base case internal rate of return
%
Projected Equity Multiple
Total distributions / equity invested
x
Year 1 Cash-on-Cash Return
Annual cash flow / equity invested
%
Renovation / CapEx Budget
Total planned capital expenditure
$

Location & Market

18% of score · 10 questions

Location is everything in real estate. Submarket strength drives long-term value.

Submarket job growth and population trends
Net in-migration? Major employers expanding? Job diversity?
✨ AI Submarket job growth and population trends checks out in the OM's market section. Submarket rents grew about 4% a year over the last three years per the OM. · 90% conf
Neighborhood desirability and livability
Walk score? Nearby retail, restaurants, parks? Crime rates?
✨ AI Strong on neighborhood desirability and livability, per the OM's market section. · 88% conf
Transportation and commute access
Near transit, highways, employment hubs? Average commute times?
✨ AI Mixed on transportation and commute access: part of it is in the OM's market section, the rest is the sponsor's word. · 67% conf · edited from 6
School district quality
Top-rated schools nearby? Matters for family-oriented properties.
✨ AI School district quality reads as typical for this kind of deal, per the OM's market section. · 66% conf
Landlord-tenant law environment
Eviction-friendly? Rent control risk? Local regulations?
✨ AI Landlord-tenant law environment reads as typical for this kind of deal, per the OM's market section. · 70% conf
Submarket rent growth trajectory
3-5yr rent CAGR? Outpacing inflation? Trailing or accelerating?
✨ AI Submarket rent growth trajectory reads as typical for this kind of deal, per the OM's market section. In-place rents at 92% of market. · 71% conf
New supply pipeline and barriers to construction
How many units under construction? Zoning restrictions? NIMBYism?
✨ AI New supply pipeline and barriers to construction is a strength, supported by the OM's market section. · 77% conf
Local economy diversification
Multiple large employers? Not dependent on one industry?
✨ AI Mixed on local economy diversification: part of it is in the OM's market section, the rest is the sponsor's word. · 74% conf · edited from 7
Comparable sales and market cap rate trends
Recent comp transactions? Cap rate compression or expansion?
✨ AI Comparable sales and market cap rate trends is a strength, supported by the OM's market section. Basis of $213,000 a unit at a 5.1% going-in cap. · 84% conf · edited from 10
Neighborhood trajectory — improving, stable, or declining?
New development nearby? Gentrification? Or signs of decline?
✨ AI Neighborhood trajectory — improving, stable, or declining is a strength, supported by the OM's market section. · 81% conf

Physical Condition

12% of score · 9 questions

What shape is the property in — and what will it cost to fix?

Structural condition of building(s)
Foundation, framing, exterior walls — any major concerns?
✨ AI Structural condition of building(s) is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. Five of the twelve buildings had their roofs replaced in 2019. · 65% conf
Age and condition of major systems
HVAC, plumbing, electrical, roofing — when last replaced?
✨ AI Age and condition of major systems is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 68% conf
Overall property maintenance quality
Well-kept grounds, clean hallways, responsive maintenance?
✨ AI Overall property maintenance quality checks out in the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 83% conf
Unit mix and floor plan appeal
Good bedroom mix for the market? Modern open layouts?
✨ AI Unit mix and floor plan appeal checks out in the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 85% conf · edited from 9
Amenity competitiveness
Pool, gym, dog park, co-working, EV charging vs. comps?
✨ AI Amenity competitiveness reads as typical for this kind of deal, per the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 70% conf
Deferred maintenance and near-term capex
Any big-ticket items in the next 2-3 years? Estimated cost?
✨ AI Deferred maintenance and near-term capex scores low; there is little on it in the OM and the sponsor's capital plan yet. · 64% conf · edited from 5
Parking adequacy
Enough spaces per unit? Covered/garage? Market expectation?
✨ AI Parking adequacy is a strength, supported by the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 85% conf
Energy efficiency and sustainability
Insulation, windows, LED lighting, water conservation?
✨ AI Energy efficiency and sustainability checks out in the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 81% conf
Curb appeal and first impression
Would you want to live here? How does it compare to comps visually?
✨ AI Curb appeal and first impression is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the OM and the sponsor's capital plan. · 63% conf

Financial Performance

18% of score · 10 questions

The numbers — does this deal pencil?

Going-in cap rate attractiveness
Above or below market? Justified by quality/location?
✨ AI Going-in cap rate attractiveness checks out in the T-12 and the rent roll. Basis of $213,000 a unit at a 5.1% going-in cap. · 89% conf
Year 1 cash-on-cash return
Target >6% for core, >8% for value-add. Where does this land?
✨ AI Year 1 cash-on-cash return is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the T-12 and the rent roll. Base-case IRR of 16.4%. · 67% conf
Projected IRR over hold period
15%+ for value-add, 10%+ for core-plus. Realistic?
✨ AI Mixed on projected IRR over hold period: part of it is in the T-12 and the rent roll, the rest is the sponsor's word. Base-case IRR of 16.4%. · 75% conf
Equity multiple (MOIC) attractiveness
1.5-2.0x+ over 3-5 years?
✨ AI Equity multiple (MOIC) attractiveness is a strength, supported by the T-12 and the rent roll. · 88% conf
Underwriting assumptions realism
Rent growth, vacancy, expense growth — conservative or aggressive?
✨ AI Underwriting assumptions realism is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the T-12 and the rent roll. · 68% conf
Current occupancy rate
95%+? If lower, is there a clear plan to stabilize?
✨ AI Strong on current occupancy rate, per the T-12 and the rent roll. 93% occupied on the rent roll. · 81% conf
Rent upside vs. market (loss-to-lease)
Current rents 10-20% below market? How quickly can you close the gap?
✨ AI Mixed on rent upside vs. market (loss-to-lease): part of it is in the T-12 and the rent roll, the rest is the sponsor's word. In-place rents at 92% of market. · 66% conf
Operating expense ratio
40-50% is typical. Higher means room for improvement or a red flag.
✨ AI Operating expense ratio is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the T-12 and the rent roll. · 66% conf
T-12 vs. pro forma reliability
Is the trailing 12 clean? Big gap between T-12 and pro forma NOI?
✨ AI T-12 vs. pro forma reliability is a strength, supported by the T-12 and the rent roll. · 86% conf
Sensitivity analysis — downside protection
What if rents are flat? Vacancy goes to 10%? How bad does it get?
✨ AI Sensitivity analysis — downside protection is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the T-12 and the rent roll. · 75% conf

Value-Add Plan

14% of score · 9 questions

Where's the upside and how hard is it to capture?

Interior renovation rent premium
What's the rent bump per unit after reno? $100/mo? $300/mo?
✨ AI Interior renovation rent premium is a strength, supported by the sponsor's business plan. In-place rents at 92% of market. · 83% conf
Renovation cost and timeline realism
Cost per unit? Can you turn units on vacancy or need relocations?
✨ AI Renovation cost and timeline realism is a strength, supported by the sponsor's business plan. Capital budget of $1,805,000. · 77% conf
Exterior and common area improvement impact
Lobby, landscaping, signage — will it lift the brand?
✨ AI Exterior and common area improvement impact is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the sponsor's business plan. · 71% conf
Operational efficiency improvements
Can you cut costs? Better vendor contracts? Tech-enabled management?
✨ AI Operational efficiency improvements checks out in the sponsor's business plan. · 85% conf
Occupancy upside potential
Below-market occupancy? Fixable with better marketing/management?
✨ AI Occupancy upside potential is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the sponsor's business plan. 93% occupied on the rent roll. · 75% conf
Ancillary revenue opportunities
RUBS, pet fees, parking premiums, storage, valet trash, package lockers?
✨ AI Ancillary revenue opportunities is a strength, supported by the sponsor's business plan. · 86% conf
Property tax reassessment risk
Will purchase price trigger a tax reassessment? Impact on NOI?
✨ AI Property tax reassessment risk checks out in the sponsor's business plan. · 84% conf
Repositioning or rebranding potential
Can you move the property up a class (C to B)? New name/brand?
✨ AI Strong on repositioning or rebranding potential, per the sponsor's business plan. · 89% conf
Track record of similar renovations in the submarket
Have comps successfully executed similar plans?
✨ AI Track record of similar renovations in the submarket is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the sponsor's business plan. Capital budget of $1,805,000. · 75% conf

Debt & Capital Structure

10% of score · 7 questions

Leverage, terms, and structure.

Financing terms attractiveness (rate, LTV, IO)
Fixed or floating? IO period? Rate relative to market?
✨ AI Mixed on financing terms attractiveness (rate, LTV, IO): part of it is in the lender's term sheet, the rest is the sponsor's word. 65% loan-to-value. · 75% conf
DSCR comfort level
1.25x+ comfortable. Below 1.15x is tight. Day-1 coverage?
✨ AI DSCR comfort level reads as typical for this kind of deal, per the lender's term sheet. DSCR of 1.32x on the lender's sizing. · 70% conf
Leverage appropriateness
65-75% LTV typical. Higher = more risk. Match to strategy.
✨ AI Leverage appropriateness checks out in the lender's term sheet. 65% loan-to-value. · 78% conf
Loan covenants and prepayment flexibility
Yield maintenance? Defeasance? Lock-out period?
✨ AI Mixed on loan covenants and prepayment flexibility: part of it is in the lender's term sheet, the rest is the sponsor's word. · 71% conf
Debt term matching business plan
If 3-yr value-add plan, don't want 10-yr locked debt.
✨ AI Debt term matching business plan is a strength, supported by the lender's term sheet. · 89% conf
Interest rate risk and hedging
Floating rate? Rate cap in place? What if rates go up 200bps?
✨ AI Interest rate risk and hedging checks out in the lender's term sheet. · 80% conf
Recourse vs. non-recourse
Non-recourse preferred. Bad-boy carve-outs standard?
✨ AI Recourse vs. non-recourse checks out in the lender's term sheet. · 86% conf · edited from 10

Sponsor & Management

10% of score · 6 questions

Who's running the show?

Sponsor's track record with similar assets
How many similar deals? What were the returns?
✨ AI Sponsor's track record with similar assets checks out in the sponsor's track-record schedule. The sponsor ran the same programme on two buildings in this submarket. · 87% conf
Property management experience and quality
In-house or 3rd party? Reputation? Tenant satisfaction?
✨ AI Mixed on property management experience and quality: part of it is in the sponsor's track-record schedule, the rest is the sponsor's word. · 65% conf
Alignment of interests (co-investment, fees)
Sponsor putting in meaningful equity? Reasonable promote/fee structure?
✨ AI Mixed on alignment of interests (co-investment, fees): part of it is in the sponsor's track-record schedule, the rest is the sponsor's word. · 68% conf
Transparency and reporting quality
Monthly reports? Quarterly calls? Responsive to questions?
✨ AI Transparency and reporting quality is a strength, supported by the sponsor's track-record schedule. · 86% conf
Sponsor's financial strength and stability
Balance sheet strength? Other fund commitments? Key-person risk?
✨ AI Concern on sponsor's financial strength and stability: it is not settled in the sponsor's track-record schedule. · 55% conf · edited from 5
Local market knowledge and presence
Do they operate in this market? Relationships with brokers, subs?
✨ AI Local market knowledge and presence checks out in the sponsor's track-record schedule. · 80% conf

Legal, Tax & Structure

6% of score · 4 questions

Entity structure, tax implications, and legal considerations.

Entity structure and investor protections
LP/GP structure? Investor rights? Removal provisions?
✨ AI Strong on entity structure and investor protections, per the draft operating agreement. A standard LLC with a promote over an 8% preferred return. · 87% conf · edited from 8
Tax efficiency (depreciation, 1031 potential)
Cost segregation planned? 1031 exchange possibility at exit?
✨ AI Strong on tax efficiency (depreciation, 1031 potential), per the draft operating agreement. · 81% conf
Title and survey cleanliness
Clean title? Any easements, encroachments, or liens?
✨ AI Strong on title and survey cleanliness, per the draft operating agreement. · 85% conf
Environmental and zoning compliance
Phase I clean? Zoning conforming? Any variances needed?
✨ AI Environmental and zoning compliance is the weak point; nothing in the draft operating agreement settles it. · 59% conf · edited from 5

Risk Assessment

12% of score · 9 questions

What could go wrong?

Downside protection in a downturn
Basis below replacement cost? Can you cover debt in a recession?
✨ AI Downside protection in a downturn is a strength, supported by the OM and the broker's emails. The insurance renewal in the emails is 19% above the T-12. · 85% conf
Rent control or regulatory change risk
Any pending legislation? State-level rent control movements?
✨ AI Strong on rent control or regulatory change risk, per the OM and the broker's emails. In-place rents at 92% of market. · 89% conf · edited from 8
Insurance cost and catastrophe exposure
Flood zone? Hurricane/earthquake risk? Insurance trending up?
✨ AI Strong on insurance cost and catastrophe exposure, per the OM and the broker's emails. · 78% conf
Exit strategy strength
Multiple exit paths? Institutional buyer demand? 1031 buyer pool?
✨ AI Concern on exit strategy strength: it is not settled in the OM and the broker's emails. · 54% conf · edited from 5
Construction and renovation risk
Contractor availability? Material cost volatility? Permitting delays?
✨ AI Construction and renovation risk is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the OM and the broker's emails. Capital budget of $1,805,000. · 65% conf · edited from 7
Tenant demographic stability
Stable tenant base? High turnover risk? Section 8 or market rate?
✨ AI Strong on tenant demographic stability, per the OM and the broker's emails. · 86% conf · edited from 8
Capital call risk
Is there a reserve budget? What if capex surprises hit?
✨ AI Capital call risk checks out in the OM and the broker's emails. Capital budget of $1,805,000. · 76% conf
Competing new development threat
Any Class A projects delivering nearby that could pull tenants?
✨ AI Competing new development threat checks out in the OM and the broker's emails. · 86% conf
Interest rate environment impact
How sensitive is the deal to rate changes? Refinance risk?
✨ AI Interest rate environment impact is adequate rather than a differentiator, per the OM and the broker's emails. · 70% conf
⚠️

Red Flags

score ≤ 3 triggers a flag
critical Has any principal, sponsor, or GP been involved in fraud, SEC violations, or criminal charges?
Check FINRA BrokerCheck, PACER, SEC EDGAR, state AG records. Even allegations matter.
✨ AI Checked FINRA BrokerCheck, PACER, SEC EDGAR, state AG records: nothing on record for the principals. · 84% conf
critical Have you found material misrepresentations in the offering documents or financials?
Do the numbers foot? Do projections match historical? Any inconsistencies between verbal and written?
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 87% conf
critical Did reference checks or background checks raise concerns?
Former partners, employees, lenders, investors — what are they saying off the record?
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 83% conf
critical Is there active material litigation against the company, property, or principals?
Lawsuits from investors, tenants, employees, regulators, or partners. Check PACER and state courts.
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 87% conf
critical Are there unresolved environmental liabilities or contamination issues?
Phase I/II findings, underground storage tanks, asbestos, lead paint, brownfield designation.
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 87% conf
critical Are there unresolvable title, zoning, or entitlement issues?
Liens, easements, encroachments, zoning non-conformance, pending condemnation.
✨ AI Nothing in the documents or the emails points this way. · 90% conf
critical Is the deal over-leveraged or reliant on aggressive financing assumptions?
LTV > 75%? DSCR < 1.2x? Interest-only with no clear refi path? Floating rate risk? On a CREDIT deal judge the BORROWER's leverage and our attachment point — interest-only and a floating rate are normal for a bridge loan and are not by themselves a flag.
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 90% conf
major Is there dangerous customer, tenant, or revenue concentration?
Single customer > 40% of revenue? Single tenant > 50% of rent? Key supplier dependency?
✨ AI Not present: the documents and the calls are consistent on it. · 81% conf
critical Has the property manager or operator been involved in fraud, embezzlement, or gross negligence?
Check litigation history, BBB, tenant reviews, prior investor complaints. Ask for PM references.
✨ AI Checked litigation history, BBB, tenant reviews, prior investor complaints: nothing on record for the principals. · 90% conf
critical Does the property have major structural, foundation, or building system failures?
Structural engineer report? Roof age? HVAC condition? Plumbing/electrical deferred maintenance?
✨ AI No sign of this in the documents, the background checks or the reference calls. · 90% conf
major Is occupancy significantly below market with no clear recovery plan?
< 80% occupied? Major tenant vacating? Market oversupply? Rent roll trending down?
✨ AI No sign of this in the documents, the background checks or the reference calls. · 85% conf
major Is the property in a high-risk zone or uninsurable / prohibitively expensive to insure?
Flood zone, wildfire zone, earthquake zone without mitigation? Insurance cost > 5% of NOI?
✨ AI No sign of this in the documents, the background checks or the reference calls. · 88% conf
critical Are the sponsor/GP incentives materially misaligned with investors?
No GP co-invest? Excessive fees? Promote with no pref? Related-party deals? Back-end loaded fees? On a DIRECT loan with no fund/GP layer this is about the borrower: related-party dealings, fees stripped at close, proceeds cashing out the sponsor — score it clean when there simply is no sponsor/GP layer.
✨ AI No sign of this in the documents, the background checks or the reference calls. · 81% conf
major Is there no credible exit path or liquidity event?
No strategic buyers? No IPO path? No dividend/distribution history? Indefinite hold?
✨ AI Nothing in the documents or the emails points this way. · 91% conf
major Is the valuation completely disconnected from fundamentals or comparables?
Price-to-revenue > 20x? Cap rate significantly below market? No comp support?
✨ AI No sign of this in the documents, the background checks or the reference calls. · 82% conf

Gut Feeling & Intangibles

10% of score · 11 questions

Your instinct matters. These questions capture what the spreadsheet can't.

Overall excitement about this deal
On a visceral level, does this fire you up? Or feel like settling?
Trust in the people across the table
Would you want to be in a foxhole with these people? Eye contact, handshake feel.
Would this be your only investment this year?
If you could only make ONE bet, would it be this one?
Portfolio fit and strategic alignment
Does this complement our existing investments? Fill a gap?
LP/partner explainability
Could you confidently explain this to investors at the next meeting?
Too-good-to-be-true meter
10 = no suspicion at all. 1 = something feels off. Trust your spider sense.
Timing and urgency — is the window right?
Right time in the cycle? Market conditions favorable? Or are we chasing?
Differentiation vs. other opportunities
How does this compare to other deals you've seen recently?
Sleep-at-night factor
Can you sleep well after wiring the money? Or will it keep you up?
Regret minimization — would you regret passing?
In 5 years, would you kick yourself for not doing this deal?
Information quality — do you know enough?
Do you feel well-informed? Or are there big unknowns?

Overall notes

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